New Poll Has Pres. Trump, Sen. Casey, With Slim Leads

HARRISBURG – City & State is reporting… A new poll from AARP Pennsylvania surveying more than 1,300 likely voters in the state shows former president and presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump with a slight lead over President Joe Biden, with Trump leading by 4 points in the state in a head-to-head rematch with his 2020 general election opponent.

But while the survey showed Trump with a lead at the top of the ticket, it also had U.S. Sen. Bob Casey leading in the state’s race for U.S. Senate, which pits Casey, a Democrat, against Republican challenger Dave McCormick.

Respondents also weighed in on the state’s race for attorney general, with Republican Dave Sunday and Democrat Eugene DePasquale virtually deadlocked early on in the race.

Below, City & State examines some of the top findings from AARP Pennsylvania’s poll on the 2024 general election. The survey, which spanned from April 24-30, was conducted by pollsters at Fabrizio Ward, which conducted polling for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 election cycles, and Impact Research, which has done work for several Democratic presidential campaigns.

Trump vs. Biden Part II

Pres. Biden and Pres. Trump are poised to face off again this fall, and according to the 1,398 voters surveyed, Trump has a slight edge over the incumbent president. In a head-to-head matchup with Biden in 2024, the poll showed Trump with a 49% to 45% lead. When factoring in Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver, Trump led Biden 46% to 41%.

AP Joe Biden Donald Trump Photos

Speaking about the poll on a virtual press call on Tuesday, Bob Ward, a partner at opinion research firm Fabrizio Ward, said voters above the age of 50 will be a group to watch heading into the general election..

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